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COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty.


ABSTRACT: Using statistical identification, we extract a COVID-19-induced shock by exploiting large daily jumps in financial markets caused by news about the pandemic. This shock depresses economic and financial indicators, increases risk and uncertainty measures, has sizeable distributional effects, and hits most harshly those industries relying on face-to-face interactions. Impulse response function analysis across various identification strategies leads us to interpret the statistical COVID-19-induced shock as a structural uncertainty shock.

SUBMITTER: Miescu M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8438541 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty.

Miescu Mirela M   Rossi Raffaele R  

European economic review 20210909


Using statistical identification, we extract a COVID-19-induced shock by exploiting large daily jumps in financial markets caused by news about the pandemic. This shock depresses economic and financial indicators, increases risk and uncertainty measures, has sizeable distributional effects, and hits most harshly those industries relying on face-to-face interactions. Impulse response function analysis across various identification strategies leads us to interpret the statistical COVID-19-induced  ...[more]

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