Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Shead S
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8460030 | biostudies-literature | 2021
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
Shead Steven S Durand Robert B RB Thomas Stephanie S
PloS one 20210923 9
We present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrower (wider) prediction intervals will be indicative of greater (lower) confidence. Stress will be induced using the Cold Pressor Arm Wrap, a variation of the Cold Pressor Test. Risk attitudes, and pers ...[more]
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