Predicting range shifts of Davidia involucrata Ball. under future climate change.

ABSTRACT: Understanding and predicting how species will respond to climate change is crucial for biodiversity conservation. Here, we assessed future climate change impacts on the distribution of a rare and endangered plant species, Davidia involucrate in China, using the most recent global circulation models developed in the sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC6). We assessed the potential range shifts in this species by using an ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs). The ensemble SDMs exhibited high predictive ability and suggested that the temperature annual range, annual mean temperature, and precipitation of the driest month are the most influential predictors in shaping distribution patterns of this species. The projections of the ensemb

SUBMITTER: Long T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8462142 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature