Increasingly expanded future risk of dengue fever in the Pearl River Delta, China.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In recent years, frequent outbreaks of dengue fever (DF) have become an increasingly serious public health issue in China, especially in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) with fast socioeconomic developments. Previous studies mainly focused on the historic DF epidemics, their influencing factors, and the prediction of DF risks. However, the future risks of this disease under both different socioeconomic development and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) scenarios remain little understood.

Methodology and principal findings

In this study, a spatial dataset of gross domestic product (GDP), population density, and land use and land coverage (LULC) in 2050 and 2070 was obtained by simulation based on the different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), and the futu

SUBMITTER: Wu W 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8462684 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature