A climate-dependent spatial epidemiological model for the transmission risk of West Nile virus at local scale.

ABSTRACT: In this study, initial elements of a modelling framework aimed to become a spatial forecasting model for the transmission risk of West Nile virus (WNV) are presented. The model describes the dynamics of a WNV epidemic in population health states of mosquitoes, birds and humans and was applied to the case of Greece for the period 2010-2019. Calibration was performed with the available epidemiological data from the Hellenic Centre for Disease Control and Prevention and the environmental data from the European Union's earth observation program, Copernicus. Numerical results of the model for each municipality were evaluated against observations. Specifically, the occurrence of WNV, the number of infected humans and the week of incidence predicted from the model were compared to the correspondi

SUBMITTER: Angelou A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8493582 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature