Quantifying the Impact of COVID-19 Nonpharmaceutical Interventions on Influenza Transmission in the United States.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been implemented to suppress transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Evidence indicates that NPIs against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may also have effects on transmission of seasonal influenza.

Methods

In this study, we use an absolute humidity-driven susceptible-infectious-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model to quantify the reduction of influenza incidence and transmission in the United States and US Department of Health and Human Services regions after implementation of NPIs in 2020. We investigate long-term effect of NPIs on influenza incidence by projecting influenza transmission at the national scale over the next 5 years, using the SIRS model.

Results

We estimate

SUBMITTER: Qi Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8522386 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature