Mechanistic modelling of COVID-19 and the impact of lockdowns on a short-time scale.

ABSTRACT:

Background

To mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus, some countries have adopted more stringent non-pharmaceutical interventions in contrast to those widely used. In addition to standard practices such as enforcing curfews, social distancing, and closure of non-essential service industries, other non-conventional policies also have been implemented, such as the total lockdown of fragmented regions, which are composed of sparsely and highly populated areas.

Methods

In this paper, we model the movement of a host population using a mechanistic approach based on random walks, which are either diffusive or super-diffusive. Infections are realised through a contact process, whereby a susceptible host is infected if in close spatial proximity of the infectious host with a

SUBMITTER: Ahmed DA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8523076 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature