COVID-19 in Slovenia, from a Success Story to Disaster: What Lessons Can Be Learned?

ABSTRACT: During the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in spring 2020, Slovenia was among the least affected countries, but the situation became drastically worse during the second wave in autumn 2020 with high numbers of deaths per number of inhabitants, ranking Slovenia among the most affected countries. This was true even though strict non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the progression of the epidemic were being enforced. Using a semi-parametric Bayesian model developed for the purpose of this study, we explore if and how the changes in mobility, their timing and the activation of contact tracing can explain the differences in the epidemic progression of the two waves. To fit the model, we use data on daily numbers of deaths, patients in hospitals, intensive care units, etc., an

SUBMITTER: Ruzic Gorenjec N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8541564 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature