The Impact of Disease Control Measures on the Spread of COVID-19 in the Province of Sindh, Pakistan.

ABSTRACT: The province of Sindh reported the first COVID-19 case in Pakistan on 26th February 2020. The Government of Sindh has employed numerous control measures to limit its spread. However, for low-and middle-income countries such as Pakistan, the management protocols for controlling a pandemic are not always as definitive as they would be in other developed nations. Given the dire socio-economic conditions of Sindh, continuation of province-wise lockdowns may inadvertently cause a potential economic breakdown. By using a data driven SEIR modelling framework, this paper describes the evolution of the epidemic projections because of government control measures. The data from reported COVID-19 prevalence and google mobility is used to parameterize the model at different time points. These time poin

SUBMITTER: Usmani BA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8601461 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature