Expert elicitation on the relative importance of possible SARS-CoV-2 transmission routes and the effectiveness of mitigations.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To help people make decisions about the most effective mitigation measures against SARS-CoV-2 transmission in different scenarios, the likelihoods of transmission by different routes need to be quantified to some degree (however uncertain). These likelihoods need to be communicated in an appropriate way to illustrate the relative importance of different routes in different scenarios, the likely effectiveness of different mitigation measures along those routes, and the level of uncertainty in those estimates. In this study, a pragmatic expert elicitation was undertaken to supply the underlying quantitative values to produce such a communication tool.

Participants

Twenty-seven individual experts from five countries and many scientific disciplines provided estimates.

SUBMITTER: Freeman AL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8637346 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature