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SARS-CoV-2 attack rate and population immunity in southern New England, March 2020 - May 2021.


ABSTRACT: Estimating an infectious disease attack rate requires inference on the number of reported symptomatic cases of a disease, the number of unreported symptomatic cases, and the number of asymptomatic infections. Population-level immunity can then be estimated as the attack rate plus the number of vaccine recipients who had not been previously infected; this requires an estimate of the fraction of vaccines that were distributed to seropositive individuals. To estimate attack rates and population immunity in southern New England, we fit a validated dynamic epidemiological model to case, clinical, and death data streams reported by Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Connecticut for the first 15 months of the COVID-19 pandemic, from March 1 2020 to May 31 2021. This period includes the initial spri

SUBMITTER: Tran TN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8669856 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature