Predictive validity of A-level grades and teacher-predicted grades in UK medical school applicants: a retrospective analysis of administrative data in a time of COVID-19.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To compare in UK medical students the predictive validity of attained A-level grades and teacher-predicted A levels for undergraduate and postgraduate outcomes. Teacher-predicted A-level grades are a plausible proxy for the teacher-estimated grades that replaced UK examinations in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The study also models the likely future consequences for UK medical schools of replacing public A-level examination grades with teacher-predicted grades.

Design

Longitudinal observational study using UK Medical Education Database data.

Setting

UK medical education and training.

Participants

Dataset 1: 81 202 medical school applicants in 2010-2018 with predicted and attained A-level grades. Dataset 2: 22 150 18-year-old medical scho

SUBMITTER: McManus IC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8678544 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature