The impact of multiple non-pharmaceutical interventions on controlling COVID-19 outbreak without lockdown in Hong Kong: A modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The 'third wave' of COVID-19 in Hong Kong, China was suppressed by non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Although social distancing regulations were quickly strengthened, the outbreak continued to grow, causing increasing delays in tracing and testing. Further regulations were introduced, plus 'targeted testing' services for at-risk groups. Estimating the impact of individual NPIs could provide lessons about how outbreaks can be controlled without radical lockdown. However, the changing delays in confirmation time challenge current modelling methods. We used a novel approach aimed at disentangling and quantifying the effects of individual interventions.

Methods

We incorporated the causes of delays in tracing and testing (i.e. load-efficiency relationship) and t

SUBMITTER: Yuan HY 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8683252 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature