The transmission dynamics of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In this study, we aimed to quantify the contribution of different transmission routes of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) and determine its transmissibility.

Methods

Based on the natural history and transmission features of MERS in different countries, a susceptible-exposed-symptomatic-asymptomatic-recovered/death (SEIARD) model and a multi-route dynamic model (MMDM). The SEIARD model and MMDM were adopted to simulate MERS in South Korea and Saudi Arabia, respectively. Data on reported MERS cases in the two countries were obtained from the World Health Organization. Thereafter, the next generation matrix method was employed to derive the equation for the basic reproduction number (R₀), and the model fitting procedure was adopted to calculate

SUBMITTER: Rui J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8694792 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan-Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature