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Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation.


ABSTRACT: We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers inside the buses, [Formula: see text], and in the city, [Formula: see text], followed a compatible behavior during the first wave of the local outbreak. Moreover, by distinguishing the close contacts of healthcare workers in the buses, we discovered that their transmission, [Formula: see text], during the same period, was systematically higher than [Formula: see text]. This result reinforces the need for special public transportation policies for highly exposed groups of people.

SUBMITTER: Ponte C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8712527 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation.

Ponte Caio C   Carmona Humberto A HA   Oliveira Erneson A EA   Caminha Carlos C   Lima Antonio S AS   Andrade José S JS   Furtado Vasco V  

Scientific reports 20211227 1


We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers  ...[more]

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