Measuring the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on solid organ transplantation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic has uniquely affected the United States. We hypothesize that transplantation would be uniquely affected.

Methods

In this population-based cohort study, adult transplantation data were examined as time series data. Autoregressive-integrated-moving-average models of transplantation rates were developed using data from 1990 to 2019 to forecast the 2020 expected rates in a theoretical scenario if the pandemic did not occur to generate observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios.

Results

32,594 transplants were expected in 2020, and only 30,566 occurred (O/E 0.94, CI 0.88-0.99). 58,152 waitlist registrations were expected and 50,241 occurred (O/E 0.86, CI 0.80-0.94). O/E ratios of transplants were kidney 0.92 (0.86-0.98), liver 0.96 (0.89-1.04), hear

SUBMITTER: Suarez-Pierre A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8717917 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature