Predicting Future Service Use in Dutch Mental Healthcare: A Machine Learning Approach.

ABSTRACT: A mental healthcare system in which the scarce resources are equitably and efficiently allocated, benefits from a predictive model about expected service use. The skewness in service use is a challenge for such models. In this study, we applied a machine learning approach to forecast expected service use, as a starting point for agreements between financiers and suppliers of mental healthcare. This study used administrative data from a large mental healthcare organization in the Netherlands. A training set was selected using records from 2017 (N = 10,911), and a test set was selected using records from 2018 (N = 10,201). A baseline model and three random forest models were created from different types of input data to predict (the remainder of) numeric individual treatment hours. A visual

SUBMITTER: van Mens K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8732820 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature