A method for small-area estimation of population mortality in settings affected by crises.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Populations affected by crises (armed conflict, food insecurity, natural disasters) are poorly covered by demographic surveillance. As such, crisis-wide estimation of population mortality is extremely challenging, resulting in a lack of evidence to inform humanitarian response and conflict resolution.

Methods

We describe here a 'small-area estimation' method to circumvent these data gaps and quantify both total and excess (i.e. crisis-attributable) death rates and tolls, both overall and for granular geographic (e.g. district) and time (e.g. month) strata. The method is based on analysis of data previously collected by national and humanitarian actors, including ground survey observations of mortality, displacement-adjusted population denominators and datasets of

SUBMITTER: Checchi F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8751462 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature