Dataset Information

A synthetic population dataset for estimating small area health and socio-economic outcomes in Great Britain.

ABSTRACT: In order to understand the health outcomes for distinct sub-groups of the population or across different geographies, it is advantageous to be able to build bespoke groupings from individual level data. Individuals possess distinct characteristics, exhibit distinct behaviours and accumulate their own unique history of exposure or experiences. However, in most disciplines, not least public health, there is a lack of individual level data available outside of secure settings, especially covering large portions of the population. This paper provides detail on the creation of a synthetic micro dataset for individuals in Great Britain who have detailed attributes which can be used to model a wide range of health and other outcomes. These attributes are constructed from a range of sources including the United Kingdom Census, survey and administrative datasets. It provides a rationale for the need for this synthetic population, discusses methods for creating this dataset and provides some example results of different attribute distributions for distinct sub-population groups and over different geographical areas.

SUBMITTER: Wu G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8776798 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A synthetic population dataset for estimating small area health and socio-economic outcomes in Great Britain.

Wu Guoqiang G Heppenstall Alison A Meier Petra P Purshouse Robin R Lomax Nik N

Scientific data 20220120 1

In order to understand the health outcomes for distinct sub-groups of the population or across different geographies, it is advantageous to be able to build bespoke groupings from individual level data. Individuals possess distinct characteristics, exhibit distinct behaviours and accumulate their own unique history of exposure or experiences. However, in most disciplines, not least public health, there is a lack of individual level data available outside of secure settings, especially covering l ...[more]

PMID: 35058471

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Project description:The number of cattle herds placed under movement restrictions in Great Britain (GB) due to the suspected presence of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) has progressively increased over the past 25 years despite an intensive and costly test-and-slaughter control program. Around 38% of herds that clear movement restrictions experience a recurrent incident (breakdown) within 24 months, suggesting that infection may be persisting within herds. Reactivity to tuberculin, the basis of diagnostic testing, is dependent on the time from infection. Thus, testing efficiency varies between outbreaks, depending on weight of transmission and cannot be directly estimated. In this paper, we use Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) to parameterize two within-herd transmission models within a rigorous inferential framework. Previous within-herd models of bTB have relied on ad-hoc methods of parameterization and used a single model structure (SORI) where animals are assumed to become detectable by testing before they become infectious. We study such a conventional within-herd model of bTB and an alternative model, motivated by recent animal challenge studies, where there is no period of epidemiological latency before animals become infectious (SOR). Under both models we estimate that cattle-to-cattle transmission rates are non-linearly density dependent. The basic reproductive ratio for our conventional within-herd model, estimated for scenarios with no statutory controls, increases from 1.5 (0.26-4.9; 95% CI) in a herd of 30 cattle up to 4.9 (0.99-14.0) in a herd of 400. Under this model we estimate that 50% (33-67) of recurrent breakdowns in Britain can be attributed to infection missed by tuberculin testing. However this figure falls to 24% (11-42) of recurrent breakdowns under our alternative model. Under both models the estimated extrinsic force of infection increases with the burden of missed infection. Hence, improved herd-level testing is unlikely to reduce recurrence unless this extrinsic infectious pressure is simultaneously addressed.

Dataset Information

A synthetic population dataset for estimating small area health and socio-economic outcomes in Great Britain.

Publications

A synthetic population dataset for estimating small area health and socio-economic outcomes in Great Britain.

Similar Datasets

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