Climate change impact on wheat and maize growth in Ethiopia: A multi-model uncertainty analysis.

ABSTRACT: Ethiopia's economy is dominated by agriculture which is mainly rain-fed and subsistence. Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production. Previous studies have shown large discrepancies in the magnitude and sometimes in the direction of the impact on crop production. We assessed the impact of climate change on growth and yield of maize and wheat in Ethiopia using a multi-crop model ensemble. The multi-model ensemble (n = 48) was set up using the agroecosystem modelling framework Expert-N. The framework is modular which facilitates combining different submodels for plant growth and soil processes. The multi-model ensemble was driven by climate change projections representing the mid of the century (2021-2050) from ten contrasting climate models downscale

SUBMITTER: Rettie FM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8782302 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature