Strategies for COVID-19 vaccination under a shortage scenario: a geo-stochastic modelling approach.

ABSTRACT: In a world being hit by waves of COVID-19, vaccination is a light on the horizon. However, the roll-out of vaccination strategies and their influence on the pandemic are still open questions. In order to compare the effect of various strategies proposed by the World Health Organization and other authorities, a previously developed SEIRS stochastic model of geographical spreading of the virus is extended by adding a compartment for vaccinated people. The parameters of the model were fitted to describe the pandemic evolution in Argentina, Mexico and Spain to analyze the effect of the proposed vaccination strategies. The mobility parameters allow to simulate different social behaviors (e.g. lock-down interventions). Schemes in which vaccines are applied homogeneously in all the country, or li

SUBMITTER: Barreiro NL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8803887 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature