Fast and accurate influenza forecasting in the United States with Inferno.

ABSTRACT: Infectious disease forecasting is an emerging field and has the potential to improve public health through anticipatory resource allocation, situational awareness, and mitigation planning. By way of exploring and operationalizing disease forecasting, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has hosted FluSight since the 2013/14 flu season, an annual flu forecasting challenge. Since FluSight's onset, forecasters have developed and improved forecasting models in an effort to provide more timely, reliable, and accurate information about the likely progression of the outbreak. While improving the predictive performance of these forecasting models is often the primary objective, it is also important for a forecasting model to run quickly, facilitating further model development

SUBMITTER: Osthus D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8830797 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature