Dataset Information

Early predictors of severe COVID-19 among hospitalized patients.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Limited research has been conducted on early laboratory biomarkers to identify patients with severe coronavirus disease (COVID-19). This study fills this gap to ensure appropriate treatment delivery and optimal resource utilization.

Methods

In this retrospective, multicentre, cohort study, 52 and 64 participants with severe and mild cases of COVID-19, respectively, were enrolled during January-March 2020. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and binary forward stepwise logistic regression were used to construct a predictive risk score. A prediction model was then developed and verified using data from four hospitals.

Results

Of the 50 variables assessed, eight were independent predictors of COVID-19 and used to calculate risk scores for severe COVID-19: age (odds ratio (OR = 14.01, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-22.7), number of comorbidities (OR = 7.8, 95% CI 1.4-15.5), abnormal bilateral chest computed tomography images (OR = 8.5, 95% CI 4.5-10), neutrophil count (OR = 10.1, 95% CI 1.88-21.1), lactate dehydrogenase (OR = 4.6, 95% CI 1.2-19.2), C-reactive protein OR = 16.7, 95% CI 2.9-18.9), haemoglobin (OR = 16.8, 95% CI 2.4-19.1) and D-dimer levels (OR = 5.2, 95% CI 1.2-23.1). The model was effective, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.944 (95% CI 0.89-0.99, p < 0.001) in the derived cohort and 0.8152 (95% CI 0.803-0.97; p < 0.001) in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

Predictors based on the characteristics of patients with COVID-19 at hospital admission may help predict the risk of subsequent critical illness.

SUBMITTER: Zhao Q

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8841178 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Early predictors of severe COVID-19 among hospitalized patients.

Zhao Qiongrui Q Yuan Youhua Y Zhang Jiangfeng J Li Jieren J Li Wei W Guo Kunshan K Wang Yanchao Y Chen Juhua J Yan Wenjuan W Wang Baoya B Jing Nan N Ma Bing B Zhang Qi Q

Journal of clinical laboratory analysis 20211223 2

<h4>Background</h4>Limited research has been conducted on early laboratory biomarkers to identify patients with severe coronavirus disease (COVID-19). This study fills this gap to ensure appropriate treatment delivery and optimal resource utilization.<h4>Methods</h4>In this retrospective, multicentre, cohort study, 52 and 64 participants with severe and mild cases of COVID-19, respectively, were enrolled during January-March 2020. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and binary forwar ...[more]

PMID: 34951061

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is associated with immune dysregulation and hyperinflammation, including elevated interleukin-6 levels. The use of tocilizumab, a monoclonal antibody against the interleukin-6 receptor, has resulted in better outcomes in patients with severe Covid-19 pneumonia in case reports and retrospective observational cohort studies. Data are needed from randomized, placebo-controlled trials.MethodsIn this phase 3 trial, we randomly assigned patients who were hospitalized with severe Covid-19 pneumonia in a 2:1 ratio receive a single intravenous infusion of tocilizumab (at a dose of 8 mg per kilogram of body weight) or placebo. Approximately one quarter of the participants received a second dose of tocilizumab or placebo 8 to 24 hours after the first dose. The primary outcome was clinical status at day 28 on an ordinal scale ranging from 1 (discharged or ready for discharge) to 7 (death) in the modified intention-to-treat population, which included all the patients who had received at least one dose of tocilizumab or placebo.ResultsOf the 452 patients who underwent randomization, 438 (294 in the tocilizumab group and 144 in the placebo group) were included in the primary and secondary analyses. The median value for clinical status on the ordinal scale at day 28 was 1.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0 to 1.0) in the tocilizumab group and 2.0 (non-ICU hospitalization without supplemental oxygen) (95% CI, 1.0 to 4.0) in the placebo group (between-group difference, -1.0; 95% CI, -2.5 to 0; P = 0.31 by the van Elteren test). In the safety population, serious adverse events occurred in 103 of 295 patients (34.9%) in the tocilizumab group and in 55 of 143 patients (38.5%) in the placebo group. Mortality at day 28 was 19.7% in the tocilizumab group and 19.4% in the placebo group (weighted difference, 0.3 percentage points; 95% CI, -7.6 to 8.2; nominal P = 0.94).ConclusionsIn this randomized trial involving hospitalized patients with severe Covid-19 pneumonia, the use of tocilizumab did not result in significantly better clinical status or lower mortality than placebo at 28 days. (Funded by F. Hoffmann-La Roche and the Department of Health and Human Services; COVACTA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04320615.).

Dataset Information

Early predictors of severe COVID-19 among hospitalized patients.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Early predictors of severe COVID-19 among hospitalized patients.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets