Individual risk perception and empirical social structures shape the dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks.

ABSTRACT: The dynamics of a spreading disease and individual behavioral changes are entangled processes that have to be addressed together in order to effectively manage an outbreak. Here, we relate individual risk perception to the adoption of a specific set of control measures, as obtained from an extensive large-scale survey performed via Facebook-involving more than 500,000 respondents from 64 countries-showing that there is a "one-to-one" relationship between perceived epidemic risk and compliance with a set of mitigation rules. We then develop a mathematical model for the spreading of a disease-sharing epidemiological features with COVID-19-that explicitly takes into account non-compliant individual behaviors and evaluates the impact of a population fraction of infectious risk-deniers on the e

SUBMITTER: d'Andrea V 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8849607 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature