On multifactorial drivers for malaria rebound in Brazil: a spatio-temporal analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Malaria incidence in Brazil reversed its decreasing trend when cases from recent years, as recent as 2015, exhibited an increase in the Brazilian Amazon basin, the area with the highest transmission of Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum. In fact, an increase of more than 20% in the years 2016 and 2017 revealed possible vulnerabilities in the national malaria-control programme.

Methods

Factors potentially associated with this reversal, including migration, economic activities, and deforestation, were studied. Past incidences of malaria cases due to P. vivax and P. falciparum were analysed with a spatio-temporal Bayesian model using more than 5 million individual records of malaria cases from January of 2003 to December of 2018 in the Brazilian Amazon to est

SUBMITTER: Ayala MJC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8851784 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature