Estimating the potential for global dissemination of pandemic pathogens using the global airline network and healthcare development indices.

ABSTRACT: Pandemics have the potential to incur significant health and economic impacts, and can reach a large number of countries from their origin within weeks. Early identification and containment of a newly emerged pandemic within the source country is key for minimising global impact. To identify a country's potential to control and contain a pathogen with pandemic potential, we compared the quality of a country's healthcare system against its global airline connectivity. Healthcare development was determined using three multi-factorial indices, while detailed airline passenger data was used to identify the global connectivity of all countries. Proximities of countries to a putative 'Worst Case Scenario' (extreme high-connectivity and low-healthcare development) were calculated. We found a posi

SUBMITTER: Mesle MMI 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8866520 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature