Modeling human migration driven by changing mindset, agglomeration, social ties, and the environment

ABSTRACT: Migration is an adaptation strategy to unfavorable conditions and is governed by a complex set of socio-economic and environmental drivers. Here we identified important drivers relatively underrepresented in many migration models—CHanging mindset, Agglomeration, Social ties, and the Environment (CHASE)—and asked: How does the interplay between these drivers influence transient dynamics and long-term outcomes of migration? We addressed this question by developing and analyzing a parsimonious Markov chain model. Our findings suggest that these drivers interact in nonlinear and complex ways. The system exhibits legacy effects, highlighting the importance of including migrants’ changing priorities. The increased characteristic population size of the system counter-intuitively leads to fewer su

SUBMITTER: Suarez G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8884484 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature