Can we shift belief in the 'Law of Small Numbers'?

ABSTRACT: 'Sample size neglect' is a tendency to underestimate how the variability of mean estimates changes with sample size. We studied 100 participants, from science or social science backgrounds, to test whether a training task showing different-sized samples of data points (the 'beeswarm' task) can help overcome this bias. Ability to judge if two samples came from the same population improved with training, and 38% of participants reported that they had learned to wait for larger samples before making a response. Before and after training, participants completed a 12-item estimation quiz, including items testing sample size neglect (S-items). Bonus payments were given for correct responses. The quiz confirmed sample size neglect: 20% of participants scored zero on S-items, and only two particip

SUBMITTER: Bishop DVM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8889191 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature