Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century.

ABSTRACT: Rising ambient temperatures due to climate change will increase urban populations' exposures to extreme heat. During hot hours, a key protective adaptation is increased air conditioning and associated consumption of electricity for cooling. But during cold hours, milder temperatures have the offsetting effect of reducing consumption of electricity and other fuels for heating. We elucidate the net consequences of these opposing effects in 36 cities in different world regions. We couple reduced-form statistical models of cities' hourly responses of electric load to temperature with temporally downscaled projections of temperatures simulated by 21 global climate models (GCMs), projecting the effects of warming on the demand for electricity circa 2050. Cities' responses, temperature exposures

SUBMITTER: Romitti Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8917203 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature