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Risk Prediction Model Based on Magnetic Resonance Elastography-Assessed Liver Stiffness for Predicting Posthepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.


ABSTRACT:

Background/aims

Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a major complication that increases mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the utility of magnetic resonance elastography-assessed liver stiffness (MRE-LS) for the prediction of PHLF and to develop an MRE-LS-based risk prediction model.

Methods

A total of 160 hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent surgical resection with available preoperative MRE-LS data were enrolled. Clinical and laboratory parameters were collected from medical records. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the risk factors for PHLF and develop a risk prediction model.

Results

PHLF was present in 24 patients (15%). In the multivariate logistic analysis, high MRE-LS (kPa; odds ratio [OR] 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12 to 1.98, p=0.006), low serum albumin (≤3.8 g/dL; OR 15.89, 95% CI 2.41 to 104.82, p=0.004), major hepatic resection (OR 4.16, 95% CI 1.40 to 12.38, p=0.014), higher albumin-bilirubin score (>-0.55; OR 3.72, 95% CI 1.15 to 12.04, p=0.028), and higher serum α-fetoprotein (>100 ng/mL; OR 3.53, 95% CI 1.20 to 10.40, p=0.022) were identified as independent risk factors for PHLF. A risk prediction model for PHLF was established using the multivariate logistic regression equation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the risk prediction model was 0.877 for predicting PHLF and 0.923 for predicting grade B and C PHLF. In leave-one-out cross-validation, the risk model showed good performance, with AUCs of 0.807 for all-grade PHLF and 0. 871 for grade B and C PHLF.

Conclusions

Our novel MRE-LS-based risk model had excellent performance in predicting PHLF, especially grade B and C PHLF.

SUBMITTER: Cho HJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8924801 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Risk Prediction Model Based on Magnetic Resonance Elastography-Assessed Liver Stiffness for Predicting Posthepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Cho Hyo Jung HJ   Ahn Young Hwan YH   Sim Min Suh MS   Eun Jung Woo JW   Kim Soon Sun SS   Kim Bong Wan BW   Huh Jimi J   Lee Jei Hee JH   Kim Jai Keun JK   Lee Buil B   Cheong Jae Youn JY   Kim Bohyun B  

Gut and liver 20220301 2


<h4>Background/aims</h4>Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a major complication that increases mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the utility of magnetic resonance elastography-assessed liver stiffness (MRE-LS) for the prediction of PHLF and to develop an MRE-LS-based risk prediction model.<h4>Methods</h4>A total of 160 hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent surgical resection with availa  ...[more]

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