The Disease and Economic Burdens of Esophageal Cancer in China from 2013 to 2030: Dynamic Cohort Modeling Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the sixth leading cause of tumor-related deaths worldwide. Estimates of the EC burden are necessary and could offer evidence-based suggestions for local cancer control.

Objective

The aim of this study was to predict the disease burden of EC in China through the estimation of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and direct medical expenditure by sex from 2013 to 2030.

Methods

A dynamic cohort Markov model was developed to simulate EC prevalence, DALYs, and direct medical expenditure by sex. Input data were collected from the China Statistical Yearbooks, Statistical Report of China Children's Development, World Population Prospects 2019, and published papers. The JoinPoint Regression Program was used to calculate the average annual

SUBMITTER: Li Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8928052 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature