Dataset Information

Incidence and prediction of HBsAg seroclearance in a prospective multi-ethnic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B cohort.

ABSTRACT:

Background and aims

Achieving HBsAg loss is an important landmark in the natural history of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A more personalized approach to prediction of HBsAg loss is relevant in counseling patients. This study sought to develop and validate a prediction model for HBsAg loss based on quantitative HBsAg levels (qHBsAg) and other baseline characteristics.

Methods

The Hepatitis B Research Network (HBRN) is a prospective cohort including 1240 untreated HBeAg-negative patients (1150 adults, 90 children) with median follow-up of 5.5 years. Incidence rates of HBsAg loss and hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs) acquisition were determined, and a predictor score of HBsAg loss using readily available variables was developed and externally validated.

Results

Crude incidence rates of HBsAg loss and anti-HBs acquisition were 1.6 and 1.1 per 100 person-years (PY); 67 achieved sustained HBsAg loss for an incidence rate of 1.2 per 100 PY. Increased HBsAg loss was significantly associated with older age, non-Asian race, HBV phenotype (inactive CHB vs. others), HBV genotype A, lower HBV-DNA levels, and lower and greater change in qHBsAg. The HBRN-SQuARe (sex,∆quantHBsAg, age, race) score predicted HBsAg loss over time with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (95% CIs) at 1 and 3 years of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.987-1.00) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.91-1.00), respectively. In validation in another cohort of 1253 HBeAg-negative patients with median follow-up of 3.1 years, HBRN SQuARe predicted HBsAg loss at 1 and 3 years with AUROC values of 0.99 (0.98-1.00) and 0.88 (0.77-0.99), respectively.

Conclusion

HBsAg loss in predominantly untreated patients with HBeAg-negative CHB can be accurately predicted over a 3-year horizon using a simple validated score (HBRN SQuARe). This prognostication tool can be used to support patient care and counseling.

SUBMITTER: Terrault NA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8943823 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Incidence and prediction of HBsAg seroclearance in a prospective multi-ethnic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B cohort.

Terrault Norah A NA Wahed Abdus S AS Feld Jordan J JJ Cooper Stewart L SL Ghany Mark G MG Lisker-Melman Mauricio M Perrillo Robert R Sterling Richard K RK Khalili Mandana M Chung Raymond T RT Rosenthal Philip P Fontana Robert J RJ Sarowar Arif A Lau Daryl T Y DTY Wang Junyao J Lok Anna S AS Janssen Harry L A HLA

Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.) 20220126 3

<h4>Background and aims</h4>Achieving HBsAg loss is an important landmark in the natural history of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A more personalized approach to prediction of HBsAg loss is relevant in counseling patients. This study sought to develop and validate a prediction model for HBsAg loss based on quantitative HBsAg levels (qHBsAg) and other baseline characteristics.<h4>Methods</h4>The Hepatitis B Research Network (HBRN) is a prospective cohort including 1240 untreated HBeAg-negative patie ...[more]

PMID: 34743343

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Project description:Background & aimsHBsAg proteins are useful to identify HBV inactive carriers (ICs), but data on chronic hepatitis D (CHD) are scarce. This study aimed to describe HBsAg composition in CHD, its changes during the evolution, and the potential association with clinical outcomes. In addition, we assess the composition of HBsAg across different HBV genotypes and validate previous results on HBsAg proteins in an independent HBV cohort.MethodsQuantitative HBsAg, medium HBsAg proteins (MHBs), and large HBsAg proteins (LHBs) were measured in two cohorts. The first cohort consisted of patients with CHD. A cross-sectional study of samples from two European institutions (N = 46) was conducted. Outcomes were assessed in a retrospective-prospective study of those patients with a follow-up of >1 year (n = 36), and the longitudinal evolution of HBsAg proteins in those with samples >5 years apart (n = 12) was analysed. The second cohort consisted of patients with HBeAg-negative HBV, and a cross-sectional study was performed (N = 141).ResultsForty-one (89%) patients with CHD had detectable HDV-RNA, and the presence of HDV-RNA was associated with higher LHBs proportion (p = 0.010). Baseline MHBs (p = 0.051) and MHBs proportion (p = 0.086) tended to be higher in those developing clinical outcomes (9/36, 25%) after a median follow-up of 5.9 years. Patients in which HDV-RNA became spontaneously undetectable during follow-up (5/31, 16.1%) tended to present lower MHBs proportion (p = 0.085). In the longitudinal study, changes in LHBs proportion were observed (p = 0.041), whereas MHBs proportion remained stable (p = 0.209). Regarding HBV, ICs showed lower LHBs proportion (p = 0.027). LHBs and MHBs differed significantly according to HBV genotype, regardless of the HBV phase.ConclusionsPatients with CHD with detectable HDV-RNA presented higher LHBs proportion than those with undetectable HDV-RNA. A trend toward having higher baseline MHBs proportion was observed in patients who developed clinical outcomes or remained with detectable HDV-RNA. This study validates the different HBsAg composition in HBV ICs and reveals the HBV-genotype influence in HBsAg composition.Impact and implicationsThe composition of HBsAg in chronic hepatitis D differs in patients with detectable and undetectable HDV viral load and may help predict the likelihood of achieving undetectable HDV viraemia and the development of clinical events such as decompensation. The composition of the surface antigen is also useful to distinguish inactive carriers of HBV, and it varies according to HBV genotype.

Project description:IntroductionSpontaneous hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, the functional cure of hepatitis B infection, occurs rarely. Prior original studies are limited by insufficient sample size and/or follow-up, and recent meta-analyses are limited by inclusion of only study-level data and lack of adjustment for confounders to investigate HBsAg seroclearance rates in most relevant subgroups. Using a cohort with detailed individual patient data, we estimated spontaneous HBsAg seroclearance rates through patient and virologic characteristics.MethodsWe analyzed 11,264 untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B with serial HBsAg data from 4 North American and 8 Asian Pacific centers, with 1,393 patients with HBsAg seroclearance (≥2 undetectable HBsAg ≥6 months apart) during 106,192 person-years. The annual seroclearance rate with detailed categorization by infection phase, further stratified by hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status, sex, age, and quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg), was performed.ResultsThe annual seroclearance rate was 1.31% (95% confidence interval: 1.25-1.38) and over 7% in immune inactive patients aged ≥55 years and with qHBsAg <100 IU/mL. The 5-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year cumulative rates were 4.74%, 10.72%, 18.80%, and 24.79%, respectively. On multivariable analysis, male (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.66), older age (41-55 years: aHR = 1.16; >55 years: aHR = 1.21), negative HBeAg (aHR = 6.34), and genotype C (aHR = 1.82) predicted higher seroclearance rates, as did lower hepatitis B virus DNA and lower qHBsAg (P < 0.05 for all), and inactive carrier state.DiscussionThe spontaneous annual HBsAg seroclearance rate was 1.31%, but varied from close to zero to about 5% among most chronic hepatitis B subgroups, with older, male, HBeAg-negative, and genotype C patients with lower alanine aminotransferase and hepatitis B virus DNA, and qHBsAg independently associated with higher rates (see Visual Abstract, Supplementary Digital Content 2, http://links.lww.com/CTG/A367).

Dataset Information

Incidence and prediction of HBsAg seroclearance in a prospective multi-ethnic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B cohort.

Background and aims

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Incidence and prediction of HBsAg seroclearance in a prospective multi-ethnic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B cohort.

Similar Datasets

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