Projecting National-Level Prevalence of General Obesity and Abdominal Obesity Among Chinese Adults With Aging Effects.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To explore the impact of population aging on the projected prevalence of obesity among Chinese adults in 2030.

Methods

In total, 71450 observations were extracted from the China Health and Nutrition Survey between 1991 and 2015.Population was projected to 2030 using a Bayesian hierarchical modeling method. Two different approaches were adopted to estimate and project the national prevalence of overweight/obesity from 1991 to 2030. One method assumed a constant population at the base year, while the other allowed the age and gender distributions vary in each year.

Results

Our projection indicated that approximately two-thirds of Chinese adults would be affected by overweight/general obesity in 2030, and more than 60% of Chinese adults will suffer from abdomi

SUBMITTER: Tian X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8957832 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature