SARS-CoV-2 cycle threshold (Ct) values predict future COVID-19 cases.

ABSTRACT:

Aim

Anticipating local surges in COVID-19 cases has predominantly been based on observation of increasing cases. We sought to determine if temporal trends in SARS-CoV-2 Cycle threshold (Ct) values from clinical testing were predictive of future cases.

Methods

Data were collected from a large, safety-net hospital in Los Angeles, California. Ct values for all SARS-CoV-2 detections by the GeneXpert system (Cepheid) between October 2020 to March 2021 were analyzed.

Results

A total of 2,114 SARS-CoV-2-positive samples were included. Cases increased dramatically in December 2020, peaking the first week of January, before returning to pre-surge numbers by mid-February. Ct values fell during this same period, with values in December and January (25.6 ± 7.8 and 27±7.9, respect

SUBMITTER: Phillips MC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8990441 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature