The Impact of COVID-19 on Mortality in Italy: Retrospective Analysis of Epidemiological Trends.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Despite the available evidence on its severity, COVID-19 has often been compared with seasonal flu by some conspirators and even scientists. Various public discussions arose about the noncausal correlation between COVID-19 and the observed deaths during the pandemic period in Italy.

Objective

This paper aimed to search for endogenous reasons for the mortality increase recorded in Italy during 2020 to test this controversial hypothesis. Furthermore, we provide a framework for epidemiological analyses of time series.

Methods

We analyzed deaths by age, sex, region, and cause of death in Italy from 2011 to 2019. Ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression analyses and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) were used to predict the best value for 20

SUBMITTER: Rovetta A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8993143 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature