Multi-week prediction of livestock chill conditions associated with the northwest Queensland floods of February 2019.

ABSTRACT: The compound extreme weather event that impacted northern Queensland in February 2019 featured record-breaking rainfall, persistent high wind gusts and relatively cold day-time temperatures. This caused livestock losses numbering around 500,000 in the northwest Queensland Gulf region. In this study, we examine the livestock chill conditions associated with this week-long compound weather event and its potential for prediction from eleven world-leading sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecast systems. The livestock chill index combines daily rainfall, wind and surface temperature data. Averaged over the event week, the potential heat loss of livestock was in the moderate to high category, with severe conditions on the day of peak rainfall (5 February). Using calibrated forecasts from the Bur

SUBMITTER: Cowan T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8993847 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature