Risk of sustained SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Queensland, Australia.

ABSTRACT: We used an agent-based model Covasim to assess the risk of sustained community transmission of SARSCoV-2/COVID-19 in Queensland (Australia) in the presence of high-transmission variants of the virus. The model was calibrated using the demographics, policies, and interventions implemented in the state. Then, using the calibrated model, we simulated possible epidemic trajectories that could eventuate due to leakage of infected cases with high-transmission variants, during a period without recorded cases of locally acquired infections, known in Australian settings as "zero community transmission". We also examined how the threat of new variants reduces given a range of vaccination levels. Specifically, the model calibration covered the first-wave period from early March 2020 to May 2020. Pred

SUBMITTER: Sanz-Leon P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9012253 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature