Mean generation function model in AIDS epidemic estimation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Since the first case of HIV infection was reported in China in 1985, the incidence and mortality of AIDS have been increasing rapidly, which has caused serious damage to the life and health of people in China and all over the world. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the technique for predicting AIDS morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this research is to explore the applicability of the mean generation function model (MGFM) in the early warning of AIDS morbidity and mortality, to predict its prevalence trend, to enrich the prediction techniques and methods of AIDS research and to provide suggestions for AIDS transmission control.

Methods

In this research, the MGFM was applied to predict the incidence and mortality of AIDS in China. AIDS incidence

SUBMITTER: Yuan L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9013215 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature