Effect of increased alcohol consumption during COVID-19 pandemic on alcohol-associated liver disease: A modeling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background and aims

Alcohol consumption increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in the United States. We projected the effect of increased alcohol consumption on alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and mortality.

Approach and results

We extended a previously validated microsimulation model that estimated the short- and long-term effect of increased drinking during the COVID-19 pandemic in individuals in the United States born between 1920 and 2012. We modeled short- and long-term outcomes of current drinking patterns during COVID-19 (status quo) using survey data of changes in alcohol consumption in a nationally representative sample between February and November 2020. We compared these outcomes with a counterfactual scenario wherein no COVID-19 occurs and drinking

SUBMITTER: Julien J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9015640 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature