Simulation of Growth Trajectories of Childhood Obesity into Adulthood.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Although the current obesity epidemic has been well documented in children and adults, less is known about long-term risks of adult obesity for a given child at his or her present age and weight. We developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age of 35 years for the current population of children in the United States.

Methods

We pooled height and weight data from five nationally representative longitudinal studies totaling 176,720 observations from 41,567 children and adults. We simulated growth trajectories across the life course and adjusted for secular trends. We created 1000 virtual populations of 1 million children through the age of 19 years that were representative of the 2016 population of the United States and projected their

SUBMITTER: Ward ZJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9036858 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature