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Humans actively sample evidence to support prior beliefs.

ABSTRACT: No one likes to be wrong. Previous research has shown that participants may underweight information incompatible with previous choices, a phenomenon called confirmation bias. In this paper, we argue that a similar bias exists in the way information is actively sought. We investigate how choice influences information gathering using a perceptual choice task and find that participants sample more information from a previously chosen alternative. Furthermore, the higher the confidence in the initial choice, the more biased information sampling becomes. As a consequence, when faced with the possibility of revising an earlier decision, participants are more likely to stick with their original choice, even when incorrect. Critically, we show that agency controls this phenomenon. The effect disappears in a fixed sampling condition where presentation of evidence is controlled by the experimenter, suggesting that the way in which confirmatory evidence is acquired critically impacts the decision process. These results suggest active information acquisition plays a critical role in the propagation of strongly held beliefs over time.

SUBMITTER: Kaanders P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9038198 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Humans actively sample evidence to support prior beliefs.

Kaanders Paula P Sepulveda Pradyumna P Folke Tomas T Ortoleva Pietro P De Martino Benedetto B

eLife 20220411

No one likes to be wrong. Previous research has shown that participants may underweight information incompatible with previous choices, a phenomenon called confirmation bias. In this paper, we argue that a similar bias exists in the way information is actively sought. We investigate how choice influences information gathering using a perceptual choice task and find that participants sample more information from a previously chosen alternative. Furthermore, the higher the confidence in the initia ...[more]

PMID: 35404234

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Project description:Although the ultimate causes of high bat fatalities at wind farms are not well understood, several lines of evidence suggest that bats are attracted to wind turbines. One hypothesis is that bats would be attracted to turbines as a foraging resource if the insects that bats prey upon are commonly present on and around the turbine towers. To investigate the role that foraging activity may play in bat fatalities, we conducted a series of surveys at a wind farm in the southern Great Plains of the US from 2011-2016. From acoustic monitoring we recorded foraging activity, including feeding buzzes indicative of prey capture, in the immediate vicinity of turbine towers from all six bat species known to be present at this site. From insect surveys we found Lepidoptera, Coleoptera, and Orthoptera in consistently high proportions over several years suggesting that food resources for bats were consistently available at wind turbines. We used DNA barcoding techniques to assess bat diet composition of (1) stomach contents from 47 eastern red bat (Lasiurus borealis) and 24 hoary bat (Lasiurus cinereus) carcasses collected in fatality searches, and (2) fecal pellets from 23 eastern red bats that were found on turbine towers, transformers, and tower doors. We found that the majority of the eastern red bat and hoary bat stomachs, the two bat species most commonly found in fatality searches at this site, were full or partially full, indicating that the bats were likely killed while foraging. Although Lepidoptera and Orthoptera dominated the diets of these two bat species, both consumed a range of prey items with individual bats having from one to six insect species in their stomachs at the time of death. The prey items identified from eastern red bat fecal pellets showed similar results. A comparison of the turbine insect community to the diet analysis results revealed that the most abundant insects at wind turbines, including terrestrial insects such as crickets and several important crop pests, were also commonly eaten by eastern red and hoary bats. Collectively, these findings suggest that bats are actively foraging around wind turbines and that measures to minimize bat fatalities should be broadly implemented at wind facilities.

Project description:BackgroundPhysical activity (PA) provides maternal and fetal health benefits, but only 27.5% of Canadian pregnant women meet PA recommendations. Theory-based interventions like the theory of planned behavior (TPB) are useful in explaining what drives behavior. The first objective of this study was to validate the TPB model to predict prenatal moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA), including testing of the novel interaction between intention and perceived behavioral control (PBC). The second objective was to identify which specific beliefs predict intention toward prenatal MVPA to support intervention.MethodWe used a prospective correlational design. Healthy pregnant women completed two electronic questionnaires: at baseline, to assess TPB constructs, and one month later, to assess MVPA practice. Structural equation modeling was conducted with Latent Moderated Structural Equations. The interaction was interpreted with the pick-a-point method and the Johnson-Neyman graphical method.ResultsThe sample consists of 193 women (M age = 31.2±3.6). Results indicate that prenatal MVPA at one month was marginally predicted by intention (β = 0.149; p < 0.10) and PBC (β = 0.322; p < 0.05, MVPA R 2 = 20%), but when their interaction was added to the model, MVPA R 2 increased to 44%. Specifically, the relationship between intention and MVPA is stronger when PBC is high (0.5 standard deviation over the mean). In the full model including the interaction, attitude (β = 0.59; p < 0.001), subjective norm (β = 0.20; p < 0.01) and PBC (β = 0.26; p < 0.05) all made a significant contribution to predicting MVPA intention (R 2 = 88%). Finally, the following beliefs displayed significant indirect paths toward the intention of being physically active: behavioral beliefs: unlikely to be more tired and likely feel better mentally; normative beliefs: approval from friends and from mother/father; and control beliefs: being tired and missing social support.ConclusionInterventions aiming to promote regular MVPA during pregnancy should prioritized the six significant beliefs identified to significantly predict intention toward prenatal MVPA.

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Humans actively sample evidence to support prior beliefs.

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Humans actively sample evidence to support prior beliefs.

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