Forecasting future prevalence and gender differences in binge drinking among young adults through 2040.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Binge drinking among adolescents and young adults has changed over time, but patterns differ by age and gender. Identifying high-risk groups to target future efforts at reducing drinking in this population remains a public health priority. Forecasting methods can provide a better understanding of variation and determinants of future binge drinking prevalence.

Methods

We implemented regression-based forecasting models to estimate the prevalence and gender differences in binge drinking among cohort groups of U.S. young adults, ages 18, 23-24, and 29-30 through 2040. Forecasting models were adjusted for covariates accounting for changes in demographic, Big-5 social roles (e.g., residential independence), and drinking norms and related substance use, to understand the

SUBMITTER: Platt JM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9066164 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature