Modular reactivation of Mexico City after COVID-19 lockdown.

ABSTRACT:

Background

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the slope of the epidemic curve in Mexico City has been quite unstable. Changes in human activity led to changes in epidemic activity, hampering attempts at economic and general reactivation of the city.

Methods

We have predicted that where a fraction of the population above a certain threshold returns to the public space, the negative tendency of the epidemic curve will revert. Such predictions were based on modeling the reactivation of economic activity after lockdown using an epidemiological model resting upon a contact network of Mexico City derived from mobile device co-localization. We modeled scenarios with different proportions of the population returning to normalcy. Null models were built using the Jornada Nacional de Sana D

SUBMITTER: de Anda-Jauregui G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9100316 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature