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Sectoral digital intensity and GDP growth after a large employment shock: A simple extrapolation exercise

ABSTRACT: Abstract We introduce a state‐dependent algorithm with minimal data requirements for predicting output dynamics as a function of employment across industries and locations. The method generalizes insights of Okun (1963) by leveraging measures of industry heterogeneity. We use the algorithm to examine gross domestic product (GDP) dynamics following the COVID‐19 pandemic of 2020, delivering informative projections of aggregate and sectoral output. Because the pandemic curtailed the ability to perform certain tasks at work, our application examines whether greater reliance on digital technologies can mediate employment and productivity losses. We use industry‐level indices of digital task intensity and ability to work from home, together with publicly available data on employment and GDP for Canada, to document that: (i) employment responses after the shock's onset are milder in digitally intensive sectors and (ii) conditional on the size of employment changes, GDP responses are less extreme in digitally intensive sectors. Our projections indicate a return to pre‐crisis aggregate output within eight quarters of the initial shock with significant heterogeneity in recovery patterns across sectors.

SUBMITTER: Gallipoli G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9111830 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:The neurogenic potential of the brain decreases during ageing, whereas the risk of neurodegenerative diseases and stroke rises. This creates a mismatch between the rate of neuron loss and the brain's capacity for replacement. Adult neurogenesis primarily occurs in the subgranular zone (SGZ) and the ventricular-subventricular zone (V-SVZ). Exercise enhances SGZ neurogenesis, and we previously showed that V-SVZ neurogenesis is induced by exercise via activation of the lactate receptor HCA1. Here, we investigated how high-intensity interval training (HIIT) and medium-intensity interval training (MIIT) affect neurogenesis in these niches. Wild-type (WT) and HCA1 knockout (KO) mice were randomized to sedentary, HIIT or MIIT (n = 5-8 per group) for 3 weeks. In the SGZ, HIIT increased the density of doublecortin (DCX)-positive cells in WT mice by 85% (5.77±1.76 vs. 3.12±1.54 cells/100 µm, P = 0.013) and KO mice (67% increase; 7.91±2.92 vs. 4.73±1.63 cells/100 µm, P = 0.004). MIIT did not alter the density of DCX-positive cells in either genotype. HIIT increased the density of Ki-67-positive cells only in KO mice (P = 0.038), whereas no differences in nestin-positive cells were observed. In the V-SVZ, HIIT increased the density of DCX-positive cells in WT mice by 155% (117.79±39.72 vs. 46.25±19.96 cells/100 µm, P < 0.001) and MIIT increased the density of DCX-positive cells by 80% (83.26±39.48 vs. 46.25±19.96 cells/100µm, P = 0.027). No exercise-induced changes were observed in KO mice. Similar patterns were noted for Ki-67 positive and DCX/Ki-67 double-positive cells in the V-SVZ. These findings suggest that HIIT enhances neurogenesis more robustly than MIIT in both niches, with HCA1 playing a crucial role in V-SVZ neurogenesis. KEY POINTS: The neurogenic potential of the brain decreases with age, whereas the risk of neurodegenerative diseases and stroke increases, highlighting a mismatch between neuronal loss and replacement capacity. Exercise enhances neurogenesis in both the subgranular zone and the ventricular-subventricular zone. High-intensity interval exercise is more effective than medium-intensity interval exercise at promoting neurogenesis in both the subgranular zone and the ventricular-subventricular zone of wild-type mice. The enhancement of neurogenesis in the ventricular-subventricular zone is dependent on the activation of the HCA1 receptor, as evidenced by the ability of medium- and high-intensity interval exercise to induce neurogenesis in wild-type mice and the lack of this effect in HCA1 knockout mice. By contrast, neurogenesis in the subgranular zone is independent on the activation of the HCA1 receptor, highlighting that neurogenesis in the two major neurogenic niches are regulated differently.

Project description:High-intensity interval exercise (HIIE) has been reported to be more beneficial for physical adaptation than low-to-moderate exercise intensity. Recently, it is becoming increasingly evident that circulating miRNAs (c-miRNAs) may distinguish between specific stress signals imposed by variations in the duration, modality, and type of exercise. The aim of this study is to investigate whether or not HIIE is superior to vigorous-intensity continuous exercise (VICE), which is contributing to develop effective fitness assessment. Twenty-six young males were enrolled, and plasma samples were collected prior to exercise and immediately after HIIE or distance-matched VICE. The miRNA level profiles in HIIE were initially determined using TaqMan Low Density Array (TLDA). And the differentially miRNAs levels were validated by stem-loop quantitative reverse-transcription PCR (RT-qPCR). Furthermore, these selective c-miRNAs were measured for VICE. Our results showed that some muscle-related miRNAs levels in the plasma, such as miR-1, miR-133a, miR-133b, and miR-206 significantly increased following HIIE or VICE compared to those at rest (P < 0.05), and there was only a significant reduction in miR-1 level for HIIE compared to VICE (P < 0.05), while no significant differences were observed for other muscle-related miRNAs between both exercises (P > 0.05). In addition, some tissue-related or unknown original miRNA levels, such as miR-485-5p, miR-509-5p, miR-517a, miR-518f, miR-520f, miR-522, miR-553, and miR-888, also significantly increased (P < 0.05) in both exercises compared to rest. However, no significant differences were found between both exercises (P > 0.05). Overall, endurance exercise assessed in this study both led to significant increases in selective c-miRNAs of comparable magnitude, suggesting that both types of endurance exercise have general stress processes. Accordingly, the similar responses to both acute exercises likely indicate both exercises can be used interchangeably. Further work is needed to reveal the functional significance and signaling mechanisms behind changes in c-miRNA turnover during exercise.

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Sectoral digital intensity and GDP growth after a large employment shock: A simple extrapolation exercise

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