Managing medical equipment capacity with early spread of infection in a region.

ABSTRACT: We develop a model for a regional decision-maker to analyze the requirement of medical equipment capacity in the early stages of a spread of infections. We use the model to propose and evaluate ways to manage limited equipment capacity. Early-stage infection growth is captured by a stochastic differential equation (SDE) and is part of a two-period community spread and shutdown model. We use the running-maximum process of a geometric Brownian motion to develop a performance metric, probability of breach, for a given capacity level. Decision-maker estimates costs of economy versus health and the time till the availability of a cure; we develop a heuristic rule and an optimal formulation that use these estimates to determine the required medical equipment capacity. We connect the level of cap

SUBMITTER: Jain A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9115432 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature