Elimination of HIV transmission in Japanese MSM with combination interventions.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Japan has a concentrated HIV epidemic, with the majority of transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM). This study aimed to explore the effect of behavioral and biomedical interventions on the HIV epidemic and forecast the time required to eliminate HIV transmission among Japanese MSM.

Methods

A deterministic compartmental model was built to estimate and forecast the HIV epidemic among Japanese MSM from 2010 to 2050. Elimination of HIV transmission among MSM was defined as incidence less than 1/1000 person-years. The time required for eliminating HIV transmission under different scenarios was calculated.

Findings

Under the current policies, HIV transmission cannot be eliminated by 2050. Both behavioral and biomedical interventions can achieve elimin

SUBMITTER: Wang Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9118161 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature