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Dominant predictors of early post-transplant outcomes based on the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY).

ABSTRACT: Data for Asian kidney transplants are very limited. We investigated the relative importance of prognostic markers in Asian kidney transplants by using Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY) cohort. Prediction models were developed by data-driven variable selection approach. The relative importance of the selected predictors was measured by dominance analysis. A total of 4854 kidney transplant donor-recipient pairs were analyzed. Overall patient survival rates were 99.8%, 98.8%, and 91.8% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. Death-censored graft survival rates were 98.4%, 97.0%, and 95.8% at 1, 3, and 5 years. Biopsy-proven acute rejection free survival rates were 90.1%, 87.4%, and 87.03% at 1, 3, and 5 years. The top 3 dominant predictors for recipient mortality within 1 year were recipient cardiovascular disease history, deceased donor, and recipient age. The dominant predictors for death-censored graft loss within 1 year were acute rejection, deceased donor, and desensitization. The dominant predictors to acute rejection within 1 year were donor age, HLA mismatched numbers, and desensitization. We presented clinical characteristics of patients enrolled in KOTRY during the last 5 years and investigated dominant predictors for early post-transplant outcomes, which would be useful for clinical decision-making based on quantitative measures.

SUBMITTER: Jeong JC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9130148 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Dominant predictors of early post-transplant outcomes based on the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY).

Jeong Jong Cheol JC Koo Tai Yeon TY Ro Han H Lee Dong Ryeol DR Lee Dong Won DW Oh Jieun J Kim Jayoun J Chae Dong-Wan DW Kim Young Hoon YH Huh Kyu Ha KH Park Jae Berm JB Kim Yeong Hoon YH Han Seungyeup S Choi Soo Jin Na SJN Lee Sik S Min Sang-Il SI Ha Jongwon J Kim Myoung Soo MS Ahn Curie C Yang Jaeseok J

Scientific reports 20220524 1

Data for Asian kidney transplants are very limited. We investigated the relative importance of prognostic markers in Asian kidney transplants by using Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY) cohort. Prediction models were developed by data-driven variable selection approach. The relative importance of the selected predictors was measured by dominance analysis. A total of 4854 kidney transplant donor-recipient pairs were analyzed. Overall patient survival rates were 99.8%, 98.8%, and 91.8% ...[more]

PMID: 35610279

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Project description:BackgroundAs in younger recipients, post-transplant infection is a frequent and devastating complication after kidney transplantation (KT) in older recipients. However, few studies have analyzed characteristics of post-transplant infection in older kidney recipients. In this study of a nation-wide cohort of older kidney recipients, we investigated the current epidemiology, risk factors, and clinical impacts of early post-transplant infection, which was defined as infectious complications requiring hospitalization within the first 6 months after KT.MethodsThree thousand seven hundred thirty-eight kidney recipients registered in the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry between 2014 and 2017 were enrolled. Recipients were divided into two groups, younger (n = 3081) and older (n = 657), with a cutoff age of 60 years. We observed characteristics of early post-transplant infection, and investigated risk factors for the development of infection. We also analyzed the association of early post-transplant infection with clinical outcomes including cardiac events, rejection, graft loss, and all-cause mortality.ResultsThe incidence of early post-transplant infection was more frequent in older recipients (16.9% in younger group and 22.7% in older group). Bacteria were the most common causative pathogens of early post-transplant infection, and the most frequent site of infection was the urinary tract in both older and younger recipients. Older recipients experienced more mycobacterial infections, co-infections, and multiple site infections compared with younger recipients. In older recipients, female sex (HR 1.398, 95% CI 1.199-1.631), older donor age (HR 1.010, 95% CI 1.004-1.016), longer hospitalization after KT (HR 1.010, 95% CI 1.006-1.014), and experience of acute rejection (HR 2.907, 95% CI 2.471-3.419) were independent risk factors for the development of early post-transplant infection. Experiencing infection significantly increases the incidence of rejection, graft loss, and all-cause mortality.ConclusionOur results illustrate current trends, risk factors, and clinical impacts of early post-transplant infection after KT in older recipients. Considering the poor outcomes associated with early post-transplant infection, careful screening of recipients at high risk for infection and monitoring of recipients who experience infection are advised. In addition, since older recipients exhibit different clinical characteristics than younger recipients, further studies are needed to establish effective strategies for treating older recipients.

Dataset Information

Dominant predictors of early post-transplant outcomes based on the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY).

Publications

Dominant predictors of early post-transplant outcomes based on the Korean Organ Transplantation Registry (KOTRY).

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