Dataset Information

[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].

ABSTRACT:

Background

In 2019, Germany was among the countries with the highest alcohol per capita consumption in the world, which contributes significantly to the burden of disease.

Aim

In this modelling study, we estimate how many alcohol-attributable diseases and deaths in Germany could have been avoided in 2019 if current alcohol excise taxes were increased by 20%, 50%, and 100%.

Methods

The starting point for the modelling was the national beverage-specific alcohol taxes. Three scenarios were modelled under the assumption that the resulting tax increase would be fully transferred to the retail prices. Beverage-specific price elasticities were used. Based on the estimated resulting decline in annual per capita consumption and the disease-specific risk functions, we modelled the avoidable incidence and mortality for alcohol-attributable diseases for 2019. Alcohol-attributable diseases of the cardiovascular and digestive systems, alcohol dependence, epilepsy, and infectious diseases as well as injuries and accidents were considered.

Results

Overall, doubling the beverage-specific alcohol taxes could have avoided up to 200,400 alcohol-attributable cases of disease and injury as well as 2800 deaths in Germany in 2019. This corresponds to just under 7% of the modelled new alcohol-attributable cases of disease and death in Germany.

Discussion

Alcohol-attributable diseases and injuries are preventable and an increase in the alcohol taxes could substantially reduce the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany.

SUBMITTER: Kilian C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9132832 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].

Kilian Carolin C Rovira Pol P Neufeld Maria M Manthey Jakob J Rehm Jürgen J

Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz 20220419 6

<h4>Background</h4>In 2019, Germany was among the countries with the highest alcohol per capita consumption in the world, which contributes significantly to the burden of disease.<h4>Aim</h4>In this modelling study, we estimate how many alcohol-attributable diseases and deaths in Germany could have been avoided in 2019 if current alcohol excise taxes were increased by 20%, 50%, and 100%.<h4>Methods</h4>The starting point for the modelling was the national beverage-specific alcohol taxes. Three s ...[more]

PMID: 35441234

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Dataset Information

[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].

Background

Aim

Methods

Results

Discussion

Publications

[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].

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