[Potential impact of increased alcohol taxes on the alcohol-attributable burden of disease in Germany: a modelling study].

ABSTRACT:

Background

In 2019, Germany was among the countries with the highest alcohol per capita consumption in the world, which contributes significantly to the burden of disease.

Aim

In this modelling study, we estimate how many alcohol-attributable diseases and deaths in Germany could have been avoided in 2019 if current alcohol excise taxes were increased by 20%, 50%, and 100%.

Methods

The starting point for the modelling was the national beverage-specific alcohol taxes. Three scenarios were modelled under the assumption that the resulting tax increase would be fully transferred to the retail prices. Beverage-specific price elasticities were used. Based on the estimated resulting decline in annual per capita consumption and the disease-specific risk functions, we modelled

SUBMITTER: Kilian C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9132832 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature