Estimating the critical immunity threshold for preventing hepatitis A outbreaks in men who have sex with men.

ABSTRACT: Several outbreaks of hepatitis A in men who have sex with men (MSM) were reported in the 1980s and 1990s in Australia and other countries. An effective hepatitis A virus (HAV) vaccine has been available in Australia since 1994 and is recommended for high-risk groups including MSM. No outbreaks of hepatitis A in Australian MSM have been reported since 1996. In this study, we aimed to estimate HAV transmissibility in MSM populations in order to inform targets for vaccine coverage in such populations. We used mathematical models of HAV transmission in a MSM population to estimate the basic reproduction number (R 0) and the probability of an HAV epidemic occurring as a function of the immune proportion. We estimated a plausible range for R 0 of 1·71-3·67 for HAV in MSM and that sustained epide

SUBMITTER: Regan DG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9150569 | biostudies-literature | 2016 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature