Malaria time series in the extra-Amazon region of Brazil: epidemiological scenario and a two-year prediction model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In Brazil, malaria is caused mainly by the Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum species. Its transmission occurs in endemic and non-endemic areas. Malaria geography in Brazil has retracted and is now concentrated in the North region. The Brazilian Amazon region accounts for 99% of Brazil's cases. Brazil's extra-Amazon region has a high frequency of imported cases and in 2019 presented a mortality rate 123 times higher than the Amazon region. Extra-Amazon cases present risks of reintroduction. This study aims to characterize the epidemiological scenario for malaria in the extra-Amazon region of Brazil from 2011 to 2020 with a two-year forecast.

Methods

Time-series study with description of malaria cases and deaths registered in Brazilian extra-Amazon region f

SUBMITTER: Garcia KKS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9153870 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature